{"id":2684,"date":"2023-04-25T15:03:55","date_gmt":"2023-04-25T15:03:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/?p=2684"},"modified":"2023-04-25T15:03:57","modified_gmt":"2023-04-25T15:03:57","slug":"ingiltere-beklenenden-daha-az-borclandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/?p=2684","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ngiltere beklenenden daha az bor\u00e7land\u0131.."},"content":{"rendered":"
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H\u00fck\u00fcmet, enerji faturalar\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in yo\u011fun harcama yapmas\u0131na ve daha y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7lanma maliyetleriyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l beklenenden daha az bor\u00e7land\u0131.<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Harcama ve vergi geliri aras\u0131ndaki fark olan bor\u00e7lanma,\u00a0<\/span>31 Mart’a kadar olan y\u0131lda 139.2 milyar sterlin olarak tahmin edildi<\/span>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Bir analist, bunun tahmin edilenden daha az oldu\u011funu ve bakanlara olas\u0131 vergi indirimleri i\u00e7in “hareket alan\u0131” verdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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\u015eans\u00f6lye, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin hala “g\u00f6z ya\u015fartan mebla\u011flar” bor\u00e7 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l \u00f6d\u00fcn\u00e7 al\u0131nan miktar, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin de\u011ferinin %5,5’ine e\u015fde\u011ferdi – pandemi hari\u00e7 2014’ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek oran.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Ancak bor\u00e7lanma rakam\u0131, ge\u00e7en ay B\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda h\u00fck\u00fcmetin tahmincisi B\u00fct\u00e7e Sorumlulu\u011fu Ofisi taraf\u0131ndan tahmin edilen 152 milyar sterlinin alt\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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  • Devlet bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131 nas\u0131l oluyor?<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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    Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi (ONS), h\u00fck\u00fcmetin yaln\u0131zca Mart ay\u0131nda 21,5 milyar sterlin bor\u00e7 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu, ayl\u0131k kay\u0131tlar\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 1993’ten bu yana ikinci en y\u00fcksek Mart rakam\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    \u015eans\u00f6lye Jeremy Hunt \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: “Bu rakamlar, bir salg\u0131n ve [Vladimir] Putin’in enerji krizi s\u0131ras\u0131nda ailelere ve i\u015fletmelere yard\u0131m etmek i\u00e7in g\u00f6z ya\u015fart\u0131c\u0131 mebla\u011flarda bor\u00e7lanman\u0131n ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    “Bunu yapmakta hakl\u0131yd\u0131k \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc i\u015fsizli\u011fi rekor seviyeye yak\u0131n bir seviyede tutmay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131k ve bu y\u0131l ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ortalama bir aileye 3.000 \u00a3’den fazla ya\u015fam maliyeti deste\u011fi sa\u011flad\u0131k.”<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Ancak, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin “borcu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in net bir plan\u0131” oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

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    Capital Economics’ten Ruth Gregory, 2022-23 i\u00e7in beklenenden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bor\u00e7lanman\u0131n \u015fans\u00f6lyeye “bir sonraki genel se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesinde vergileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek veya harcamalar\u0131 art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in daha fazla hareket alan\u0131” sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Hunt, 2024’te olmas\u0131 beklenen bir sonraki se\u00e7imden \u00f6nce Muhafazakar milletvekillerinin vergileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131rken, kamu sekt\u00f6r\u00fc i\u015f\u00e7i sendikalar\u0131 artan ya\u015fam maliyetini dengelemek i\u00e7in maa\u015f art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 i\u00e7in bast\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Bayan Gregory, bir sonraki se\u00e7im h\u0131zla yakla\u015f\u0131rken, bu baharda benzer hamlelerin ard\u0131ndan Sonbahar Bildirisi’nde e\u015fantiyonlar g\u00f6r\u00fcrse “hi\u00e7 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131” s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Ancak \u015funlar\u0131 ekledi: “Her iki partinin de kamu borcunu GSY\u0130H i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye y\u00f6nelik mevcut planlar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 kalmas\u0131 muhtemel oldu\u011fundan, kim yetkili olursa olsun, se\u00e7imden sonra yine de olduk\u00e7a b\u00fcy\u00fck bir mali s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya ihtiya\u00e7 duyulacak.”<\/p>\n

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    Beklenenden daha iyi olan kamu maliyesi sayesinde, \u015fans\u00f6lyenin elindeki miktar bu kadard\u0131 ve yine de (kendi kendine koydu\u011fu) mali temizlik kurallar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layabilirdi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    \u00dc\u00e7 geni\u015f se\u00e7ene\u011fi var:<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Harcamalar\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.\u00a013 milyar sterlin, kamu sekt\u00f6r\u00fc \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131 i\u00e7in %5’lik bir \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in kabaca yeterli olacakt\u0131r.\u00a0Ancak \u015fans\u00f6lye, muhtemelen ba\u015fka yerlerde daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtarak y\u00fcksek enflasyonu uzatabilece\u011fini ve ekonomiye daha fazla zarar verebilece\u011fini savunarak, maa\u015f \u00f6d\u00fcllerini mevcut y\u00fcksek enflasyon oranlar\u0131yla e\u015fle\u015ftirmekten ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131.\u00a0Baz\u0131 ekonomistler onun mant\u0131\u011f\u0131na itiraz ediyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Veya, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde yakla\u015fan bir se\u00e7imle, vergileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilir, se\u00e7menlere birka\u00e7 tatland\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 atabilir – 13 milyar sterlin, standart gelir vergisi oran\u0131ndan bir veya iki peni i\u00e7in \u00f6deme yapar, daha fazlas\u0131n\u0131 almaya kadar uzan\u0131r. Standart KDV oran\u0131ndan 1p indirim, ya\u015fam maliyeti krizinin darbesini yumu\u015fat\u0131yor.\u00a0Ne de olsa, bu mebla\u011f\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu, vergi g\u00f6revlisine daha fazla para gitti\u011fi i\u00e7in geldi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Veya nakit biriktirmeyi se\u00e7ebilir – sonu\u00e7ta \u00f6denmemi\u015f bor\u00e7 y\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek kal\u0131r.\u00a0Ve ekonominin – ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla kamu maliyesinin – g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u00e7ok belirsizli\u011fini koruyor.\u00a0\u0130htiyatl\u0131 ev idaresi i\u00e7in kimlik bilgilerini y\u00fckseltmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur ve en olas\u0131 se\u00e7enek – \u015fimdilik.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Ancak ekonomi herhangi bir ciddi \u015foktan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131rsa, se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi bir \u00e7ekili\u015fin cazibesi y\u00fcksek olacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l, faiz oranlar\u0131 d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda y\u00fckselirken ve eski \u015fans\u00f6lye Kwasi Kwarteng’in bunlar\u0131 nas\u0131l finanse edece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamadan bir dizi vergi indirimi \u00f6nermesinin ard\u0131ndan h\u0131zla y\u00fckselirken, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin bor\u00e7lanma maliyetleri artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Bay Hunt, finansal piyasalardaki endi\u015feleri hafifleten planlar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funu geri ald\u0131.\u00a0<\/span>Bununla birlikte, Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu’na g\u00f6re,<\/span>\u00a0bor\u00e7lanma maliyetleri nispeten y\u00fcksek olmaya devam ediyor ve Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k bu y\u0131l d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en k\u00f6t\u00fc performans g\u00f6steren b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilerinden biri olmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Sonu\u00e7 olarak ONS, Mart 2023’\u00fcn sonunda kamu sekt\u00f6r\u00fc net borcunun 2,53 trilyon sterlin oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi – bu, t\u00fcm Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ekonomisinin de\u011ferinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %99,6’s\u0131na ve 1960’lar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen bir d\u00fczeye denk geliyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Bay Hunt, be\u015f y\u0131l i\u00e7inde borcun \u00fcretim pay\u0131 veya GSY\u0130H i\u00e7indeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc almay\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    KPMG’nin ba\u015f ekonomisti Yael Selfin, Today program\u0131na \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: “\u015eu anda i\u015flerin gidi\u015fat\u0131, bu hedefi tutturacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor, ancak bir \u015fans\u00f6lyenin bir hedefi tutturamamas\u0131 ilk kez olmayacak. .<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    “\u00d6nemli olan, piyasalar\u0131n g\u00fcvenine h\u00e2l\u00e2 sahip olmas\u0131, bu nedenle uzun vadede bor\u00e7 d\u00fc\u015fecek ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki gibi benzer d\u00f6nemler ya\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131z.”<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    H\u00fck\u00fcmet, enerji faturalar\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in yo\u011fun harcama yapmas\u0131na ve daha y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7lanma maliyetleriyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l beklenenden daha az bor\u00e7land\u0131. Harcama ve vergi geliri aras\u0131ndaki fark olan bor\u00e7lanma,\u00a031 Mart’a kadar olan y\u0131lda 139.2 milyar sterlin olarak tahmin edildi\u00a0. Bir analist, bunun tahmin edilenden daha az oldu\u011funu ve bakanlara olas\u0131 vergi indirimleri …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2685,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[1032,1045],"class_list":["post-2684","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tie-business","tag-ingiltere-ekonomisi","tag-ulusal-istatistik-ofisi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2684","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2684"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2684\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2686,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2684\/revisions\/2686"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2685"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2684"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2684"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2684"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}