{"id":2060,"date":"2023-02-02T19:49:39","date_gmt":"2023-02-02T19:49:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/?p=2060"},"modified":"2023-02-02T19:49:40","modified_gmt":"2023-02-02T19:49:40","slug":"ingiltere-bu-yil-resesyona-girecek-dusunulenden-daha-kisa-ve-daha-az-siddetli-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/?p=2060","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ngiltere bu y\u0131l resesyona girecek, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclenden daha k\u0131sa ve daha az \u015fiddetli olacak."},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131’na g\u00f6re, \u0130ngiltere bu y\u0131l resesyona girecek, ancak daha \u00f6nce d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclenden daha k\u0131sa ve daha az \u015fiddetli olacak.<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Enerji faturalar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi ve fiyatlar\u0131n yava\u015f\u00e7a artmas\u0131 nedeniyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn neredeyse iki y\u0131l yerine bir y\u0131ldan biraz fazla s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Banka, sonu\u00e7 olarak daha az insan\u0131n i\u015fini kaybetmesinin muhtemel oldu\u011funu, ancak ekonominin k\u0131r\u0131lgan olmaya devam etti\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Tahmin, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n 14 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan %3,5’ten %4’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131yla geldi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Banka, artan ya\u015fam maliyetiyle m\u00fccadele etmek i\u00e7in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselme h\u0131z\u0131 olan enflasyon, olmas\u0131 gerekenin be\u015f kat\u0131ndan fazla, 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine yak\u0131n.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Banka ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey, enflasyonun \u015fu anda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, ancak ekonomiyi etkilemeye devam edebilecek “b\u00fcy\u00fck riskler” oldu\u011fu konusunda uyard\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Banka, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n zirveye yakla\u015fabilece\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc ve faizleri yaln\u0131zca enflasyonun y\u00fcksek kalaca\u011f\u0131na dair i\u015faretler g\u00f6r\u00fcrse daha da art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Ancak Bailey’nin “ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc” dedi\u011fi 2026 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar \u00fclkenin Covid \u00f6ncesi seviyelere geri d\u00f6nmesi beklenmiyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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“Covid’in uzun vadede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fczden daha b\u00fcy\u00fck etkileri oldu, \u00f6zellikle i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc arz\u0131 ve insanlar\u0131n i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131lmaktan vazge\u00e7meyi se\u00e7mesi gibi \u015feyler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan.”<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131, insanlar\u0131 daha fazla tasarruf etmeye ve daha az harcamaya te\u015fvik ederek fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zla y\u00fckselmesini durdurmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerindeki art\u0131\u015f, \u00fcst \u00fcste onuncu zam ve zaten ya\u015fam maliyetiyle m\u00fccadele eden bir\u00e7ok hane i\u00e7in bask\u0131 olu\u015fturacak.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Etki, bor\u00e7 alanlar taraf\u0131ndan daha y\u00fcksek ipotek ve kredi maliyetleri yoluyla hissedilecek, ancak ayn\u0131 zamanda tasarruf sahipleri i\u00e7in daha iyi getiri anlam\u0131na gelmelidir.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Tipik bir izci ipote\u011fi olan ev sahipleri art\u0131k ayda yakla\u015f\u0131k 49 \u00a3 daha fazla \u00f6deyecek.\u00a0Standart de\u011fi\u015fken oranl\u0131 ipotek kullananlar 31 sterlinlik bir art\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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  • Oranlar zirve yapm\u0131\u015f olabilir, ancak ekonomi k\u0131r\u0131lgan olmaya devam ediyor<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f sizin i\u00e7in ne ifade ediyor?<\/span><\/li>\n
  • \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 neden de\u011fi\u015ftiriyor?<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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    Bankan\u0131n\u00a0<\/span>tahminleri, Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu’nun (IMF) ayr\u0131<\/span>\u00a0bir tahmininin , \u0130ngiltere’nin 2023’te k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen ve Rusya’dan bile daha k\u00f6t\u00fc performans g\u00f6steren tek b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomi olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrmesinin ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    IMF’den biraz daha k\u00f6t\u00fcmser ve \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin bir s\u00fcre zay\u0131f kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k’ta 1,1 milyon rekor i\u015f a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 varken, “ekonomik olarak aktif olmayan” olarak s\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131r\u0131lan – yani 16 ila 64 ya\u015flar\u0131 aras\u0131nda i\u015f aramayan insanlar – say\u0131s\u0131 artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Bailey, \u00e7o\u011fu \u00fclkede pandeminin zirvesinden bu yana ekonomik olarak aktif olmayan i\u015f\u00e7i say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, ancak \u0130ngiltere’de durumun b\u00f6yle olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Bay Bailey, “\u0130ngiltere’yi di\u011ferlerinden ay\u0131ran \u015fey bu” dedi.<\/p>\n

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    Banka daha \u00f6nce \u0130ngiltere’nin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda resesyona girece\u011fini ve gerilemenin gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ortas\u0131na kadar s\u00fcrece\u011fini tahmin etmi\u015fti.\u00a0\u015eimdi, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayan ve gelecek y\u0131l Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n sonuna kadar s\u00fcrecek olan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn daha k\u0131sa olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Bir durgunluk, ekonominin art arda iki \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemler boyunca k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131r.\u00a0Tipik olarak \u015firketler daha az para kazan\u0131r ve i\u015fleri azalt\u0131r, bu da h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kamu hizmetlerine harcayaca\u011f\u0131 daha az vergi geliri b\u0131rakmas\u0131na neden olur.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Banka \u015fimdi tahmin ediyor:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    • Ekonomi, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde “toptan enerji fiyatlar\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc” i\u00e7in %3’e kar\u015f\u0131 %1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclecek.<\/li>\n
    • \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 %6,4 yerine %5,3 ile zirve yapacak.\u00a0\u015eu anda %3,7’dir.<\/li>\n
    • Enflasyon, y\u0131l sonunda %3’e d\u00fc\u015fmeden \u00f6nce Haziran’da %8’e d\u00fc\u015fecek.<\/li>\n
    • \u0130\u015f\u00e7iler b\u00fcy\u00fck maa\u015f art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 al\u0131rsa, enflasyonda daha yava\u015f bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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      “Maliyetleri azaltmak i\u00e7in maa\u015f\u0131m\u0131 kestim ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma saatlerini azaltt\u0131m”<\/span><\/h2>\n
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      \u0130\u015fletme sahibi Jo Williams, Nuneaton’daki yatak sat\u0131\u015f \u015firketi ve hediyelik e\u015fya d\u00fckkan\u0131 i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ekstra maliyeti konusunda endi\u015feli.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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      Yatak d\u00fckkan\u0131 deposu i\u00e7in ipotek maliyetleri ayda 150 sterlin artt\u0131 ve kendi ev ipote\u011fi de s\u00fcr\u00fcnerek y\u00fckseliyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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      Jo, bu kay\u0131plar\u0131 telafi etmek i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f saatlerini 09:30’dan 17:00’den 10:00 – 16:00’a indirdi ve 8 y\u0131l sonra ilk kez bir personelini i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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      • Mortgage borcumu \u00f6deyemezsem ne olur?<\/li>\n
      • Fiyatlar neden bu kadar art\u0131yor?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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        “Bu i\u015fi g\u00fcvence alt\u0131na almak i\u00e7in her \u015feyi denedik ama \u015fu anda nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok ama \u00e7ok yak\u0131ndan takip etmemiz gerekiyor” diye a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n

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        \u015eans\u00f6lye Jeremy Hunt, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in Banka ile “uyumlu” hareket edece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\u00a0Bu, “yaln\u0131zca enflasyon ate\u015fini k\u00f6r\u00fckleyecek olan bor\u00e7lanma yoluyla ek harcamalar\u0131 veya vergi indirimlerini finanse etme” d\u00fcrt\u00fcs\u00fcne direnmek anlam\u0131na geliyordu.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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        Ancak \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi’nin g\u00f6lge \u015fans\u00f6lyesi Rachel Reeves, “Ger\u00e7ek \u015fu ki, Muhafazakarlar d\u00f6neminde b\u00fcy\u00fcme yerde, aileler daha k\u00f6t\u00fc durumda ve biz k\u00fcresel yava\u015flama \u015feridinde s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131p kald\u0131k” dedi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131’na g\u00f6re, \u0130ngiltere bu y\u0131l resesyona girecek, ancak daha \u00f6nce d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclenden daha k\u0131sa ve daha az \u015fiddetli olacak. Enerji faturalar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi ve fiyatlar\u0131n yava\u015f\u00e7a artmas\u0131 nedeniyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn neredeyse iki y\u0131l yerine bir y\u0131ldan biraz fazla s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor. Banka, sonu\u00e7 olarak daha az insan\u0131n i\u015fini kaybetmesinin muhtemel oldu\u011funu, ancak ekonominin k\u0131r\u0131lgan olmaya devam etti\u011fi …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2062,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,19,21],"tags":[668,279,666,667],"class_list":["post-2060","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tie-world","category-tie-business","category-tie-life-style","tag-faiz-oranlari","tag-ingiltere-2","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-resesyon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2060","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2060"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2060\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2063,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2060\/revisions\/2063"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2062"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2060"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2060"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2060"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}