{"id":1806,"date":"2023-01-10T20:05:56","date_gmt":"2023-01-10T20:05:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/?p=1806"},"modified":"2023-01-10T20:05:57","modified_gmt":"2023-01-10T20:05:57","slug":"dunya-bankasinin-tahminlerine-gore-kuresel-ekonomi-durgunluga-dusmeye-yakin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/?p=1806","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n tahminlerine g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel ekonomi durgunlu\u011fa d\u00fc\u015fmeye yak\u0131n."},"content":{"rendered":"
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D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n son tahminlerine g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel ekonomi “durgunlu\u011fa d\u00fc\u015fmeye tehlikeli bir \u015fekilde yak\u0131n”.<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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D\u00fcnya ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l sadece %1,7 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini bekliyor – Haziran ay\u0131nda tahmin etti\u011fi %3’ten keskin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Rapor, Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’y\u0131 i\u015fgalinden ve salg\u0131n\u0131n etkisinden kaynaklanan bir dizi fakt\u00f6r\u00fc sorumlu tutuyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n etkileri, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n \u00fcstesinden gelmesi gereken temel zorluk olarak se\u00e7ilmi\u015ftir.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 ba\u015fkan\u0131 David Malpass, gerilemenin “geni\u015f tabanl\u0131” olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n hemen her yerinde insanlar\u0131n kazan\u00e7lar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n “Covid-19’dan \u00f6nceki on y\u0131ldakinden daha yava\u015f” olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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K\u00fcresel mali kriz<\/span>\u00a0ve\u00a0<\/span>Covid pandemisinin<\/span>\u00a0neden oldu\u011fu 2009 ve 2020 durgunluklar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, %1,7’lik b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 1991’den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme olacak\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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  • \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi tahmin edilenden daha fazla k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc<\/span><\/li>\n
  • ABD faiz oranlar\u0131 14 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131<\/span><\/li>\n
  • \u00c7in’de fabrika faaliyeti beklenenden fazla darald\u0131<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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    D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en etkili \u00fc\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi olan ABD, Avro B\u00f6lgesi ve \u00c7in’in “belirgin bir zay\u0131fl\u0131k d\u00f6neminden” ge\u00e7ti\u011fini, bu gerilemenin daha yoksul \u00fclkelerin kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu sorunlar\u0131 k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

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    Pandemi sonras\u0131 2021’de %5,3’l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en zengin ekonomilerindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2022’deki %2,5’ten bu y\u0131l sadece %0,5’e keskin bir \u015fekilde yava\u015flamas\u0131 muhtemel.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Banka, “Son yirmi y\u0131lda, bu \u00f6l\u00e7ekteki yava\u015flamalar k\u00fcresel bir durgunlu\u011fun habercisi oldu” uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunarak, “keskin ve uzun s\u00fcreli bir yava\u015flama” bekledi\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekledi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    E\u011fer k\u00fcresel bir durgunluk ya\u015fan\u0131rsa, 1930’lardan bu yana ilk kez ayn\u0131 on y\u0131lda iki k\u00fcresel durgunluk ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f olacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Artan fiyatlar ile m\u00fccadele<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n<\/div>\n
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    Y\u00fcksek enflasyon<\/span>\u00a0, k\u00fcresel ekonominin m\u00fccadele etmesinin ana nedenlerinden biridir.\u00a0Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l, Ukrayna’daki sava\u015f\u0131n mahsul arz\u0131n\u0131 azaltmas\u0131 ve Bat\u0131’y\u0131 Rus fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131ndan uzakla\u015fmaya zorlamas\u0131 nedeniyle k\u00fcresel g\u0131da ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseldi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, k\u00fcresel fiyat art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n 2022’deki %7,6’dan bu y\u0131l %5,2’ye d\u00fc\u015fmesini bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Baz\u0131 “fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr”.\u00a0banka genel olarak enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesini bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\u00a0K\u00fcresel \u00fcretimde bir art\u0131\u015fa ve bir enerji krizinin i\u015fletmeleri ve hane halk\u0131n\u0131 gaz kullan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaya y\u00f6neltti\u011fi Avrupa’da talebin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Mahsul fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n da bu y\u0131l %5 d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor, ancak 2022’de %13 artarak birka\u00e7 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde y\u00fcksek olmaya devam edecek.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Bu geli\u015fmelere ra\u011fmen, enflasyonun tipik olarak sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 kabul edilen %2’lik oran\u0131n olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Aralar\u0131nda ABD ve \u0130ngiltere’nin de bulundu\u011fu onlarca \u00fclkenin merkez bankalar\u0131, soruna yan\u0131t olarak ekonomilerini so\u011futmak ve fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7eken bask\u0131lar\u0131 hafifletmek amac\u0131yla faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltiyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    <\/picture><\/span><\/div>\n
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    Ancak ekonomilerini durgunlu\u011fa<\/span>\u00a0s\u00fcr\u00fcklemeden ya\u015fam maliyeti krizini ele almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken hassas bir yolda ilerliyorlar\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin ticari yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 engelledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve daha fazla \u015firketin bor\u00e7lar\u0131yla m\u00fccadele etti\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131.\u00a0Geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler, daha da artmas\u0131 beklenen ABD faiz oranlar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan da s\u0131k\u0131 bir \u015fekilde s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor.\u00a0Bir\u00e7o\u011fu ABD dolar\u0131 cinsinden bor\u00e7 para al\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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    Banka, k\u00fcresel ekonomi “bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda” olsa bile do\u011fru h\u00fck\u00fcmet politikalar\u0131n\u0131n umut sunabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.\u00a0Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 art\u0131rmak ve istihdam yaratmak, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle m\u00fccadele etmek, daha fakir \u00fclkelerin bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 gidermek ve uluslararas\u0131 ticareti kolayla\u015ft\u0131rmak i\u00e7in \u00f6nlemler tavsiye etti.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n son tahminlerine g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel ekonomi “durgunlu\u011fa d\u00fc\u015fmeye tehlikeli bir \u015fekilde yak\u0131n”. D\u00fcnya ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l sadece %1,7 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini bekliyor – Haziran ay\u0131nda tahmin etti\u011fi %3’ten keskin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f. Rapor, Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’y\u0131 i\u015fgalinden ve salg\u0131n\u0131n etkisinden kaynaklanan bir dizi fakt\u00f6r\u00fc sorumlu tutuyor. Daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n etkileri, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n \u00fcstesinden gelmesi gereken temel zorluk …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1807,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,19,1],"tags":[65,453,286,451,452,295],"class_list":["post-1806","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tie-world","category-tie-business","category-onemli","tag-abd","tag-avro-bolgesi","tag-covid-2","tag-dunya-bankasi","tag-kuresel-ekonomi","tag-pandemi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1806","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1806"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1806\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1808,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1806\/revisions\/1808"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1807"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1806"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1806"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fonexmedya.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1806"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}